面向疾病预测的时间序列人工智能模型研究进展

Research Advances in Time Series Artificial Intelligence Models for Disease Prediction

  • 摘要: 疾病的发生与发展是一个复杂的动态过程,单时间点的横截面数据难以完整刻画其演变规律,而时序数据能够刻画疾病随时间的动态演变,是实现精准疾病预测的关键。近年来,深度学习技术的突破使基于纵向时序数据的智能预测模型取得显著进展,但该类数据固有的不规则采样、高缺失率及异质性等挑战,也对模型设计提出特殊要求。本文系统综述基于时序数据的疾病预测人工智能模型研究进展,从数据处理与表征、代表性模型架构、时序建模策略三个层面展开深入分析,旨在为构建更高效、更鲁棒的纵向疾病预测模型提供参考。

     

    Abstract: The occurrence and progression of diseases constitute a complex dynamic process, and cross-sectional data from a single time point are insufficient to fully characterize their evolutionary patterns' In contrast, longitudinal time-series data can capture the dynamic evolution of diseases over time, which is key to achieving precise disease prediction. In recent years, breakthroughs in deep learning have driven significant progress in intelligent predictive models based on longitudinal time-series data. However, challenges inherent to such data-including irregular sampling, high missing rates, and heterogeneity-also impose specific requirements on model design. This paper provides a systematic review of research advances in intelligent models for disease prediction based on time-series data. We conduct an in-depth analysis from three perspectives:data processing and representation, representative model architectures, and time-series modeling strategies, aiming to provide a reference for building more efficient and robust longitudinal disease prediction models.

     

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