基于动静脉双期CT的深度学习模型在胰腺囊性病变良恶性鉴别诊断中的应用价值

Diagnostic Value of A Deep Learning Model Based on Arterial and Venous Phase CT for Differentiating Benign and Malignant Pancreatic Cystic Lesions

  • 摘要: 目的 构建基于动静脉双期CT影像特征的深度学习模型,评估其在胰腺囊性病变(pancreatic cysticlesions,PCLs)良恶性鉴别中的诊断价值。方法 回顾性收集2014年6月1日-2023年5月31日北京协和医院组织病理证实的PCLs患者术前增强CT影像资料,并以病灶为单位将数据以3:1:1比例随机划分为训练集、验证集和测试集。对CT影像进行预处理并勾画病灶区域,以术后病理结果为金标准,构建5种深度学习模型(ResNet50、DenseNet121、ResNeXt50、EfficientNet-b5、MobileNetV2)提取动静脉双期CT影像特征进行PCLs良恶性分类。结合曲线下面积(area under the curve,AUC)、准确率、灵敏度及特异度等指标筛选最优模型。进一步与单期相CT影像深度学习模型、传统影像组学模型、放射科医师阅片结果进行对比分析,综合评价基于动静脉双期CT影像特征的深度学习模型在PCLs良恶性鉴别诊断中的性能。结果 最终纳入PCLs患者480例,包含485个病灶样本(恶性206个,良性279个)。训练集、验证集、测试集分别包含291个、97个、97个样本,对应患者分别288例、96例和96例。在验证集中,基于动静脉双期CT影像特征的ResNeXt50模型鉴别PCLs良恶性的AUC为0. 837(95% CI:0. 748~0. 915)、准确率为77. 32%(95% CI:67. 70%~85. 21%)、灵敏度为80. 49%(95% CI:65. 13%~91. 18%)、特异度为75. 00%(95% CI:61. 63%~085. 61%),测试集中该数据分别为0. 822(95% CI:0. 737~0. 904)、73. 20%(95% CI:63. 24%~81. 68%)、82. 93%(95% CI:67. 94%~92. 85%)、66. 07%(95% CI:52. 19%~78. 19%),整体表现最优。校准曲线显示,该模型预测概率与实际观察结果总体一致,但在概率校准方面存在一定不足;决策曲线分析结果显示,使用该模型进行临床决策能使患者获益。与单期相CT影像特征模型、传统影像组学模型比较,基于动静脉双期CT影像ResNeXt50模型的整体表现更优,与反射科医师阅片结果相当且具有良好的一致性。结论 基于动静脉双期CT影像特征的深度学习模型在PCLs良恶性鉴别中具有一定诊断价值,可作为临床术前评估的辅助参考。但其稳定性和泛化能力仍有待更大样本及外部数据进一步检验。

     

    Abstract: Objective To develop a deep learning model based on arteriovenous dual-phase CT imaging features and evaluate its diagnostic value in differentiating benign from malignant pancreatic cystic lesions (PCLs). Methods Preoperative contrast-enhanced CT images of patients with histopathologically confirmed PCLs at Peking Union Medical College Hospital from June 1, 2014 to May 31, 2023 were retrospectively collected. The data were randomly partitioned at the lesion level into training, validation, and test sets in a 3:1:1 ratio. CT images were preprocessed and regions of interest were delineated. Using postoperative pathological results as the reference standard, five deep learning models (ResNet50, DenseNet121, ResNeXt50, EfficientNet-b5, and MobileNetV2) were constructed to extract arteriovenous dual-phase CT imaging features for binary classification of PCLs. The optimal model was selected based on the area under the curve (AUC), accuracy, sensitivity, and specificity. Further comparative analyses were conducted against single-phase CTbased deep learning models, conventional radiomics models, and radiologist interpretations to comprehensively evaluate the performance of the arteriovenous dual-phase CT-based deep learning model in the differential diagnosis of PCLs. Results A total of 480 patients with 485 lesions (206 malignant and 279 benign) were ultimately enrolled. The training, validation, and test sets comprised 291, 97, and 97 lesions, corresponding to 288, 96, and 96 patients, respectively. In the validation set, the ResNeXt50 model based on arteriovenous dual-phase CT features achieved an AUC of 0' 837 (95% CI:0' 748-0' 915), an accuracy of 77' 32% (95% CI:67' 70%-85' 21%), a sensitivity of 80' 49% (95% CI:65' 13%-91' 18%), and a specificity of 75' 00% (95% CI:61' 63%-85' 61%). In the test set, the corresponding values were 0' 822 (95% CI:0' 737-0' 904), 73' 20% (95% CI:63' 24% -81' 68%), 82' 93% (95% CI:67' 94%-92' 85%), and 66' 07% (95% CI:52' 19%-78' 19%), demonstrating overall superior performance. Calibration curves indicated that the predicted probabilities of the model were generally consistent with observed outcomes, albeit with certain shortcomings in probability calibration. Decision curve analysis revealed that clinical decision-making based on this model conferred net patient benefit. Compared with single-phase CT-based models and conventional radiomics models, the ResNeXt50 model incorporating arteriovenous dual-phase CT features exhibited superior overall performance, and its diagnostic performance was comparable to that of radiologists, with good consistency. Conclusions The deep learning model based on arteriovenous dual-phase CT imaging features demonstrates diagnostic value in differentiating benign from malignant PCLs and may serve as an adjunctive reference for preoperative clinical assessment. However, its stability and generalizability warrant further validation in larger cohorts and with external datasets.

     

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