实时德尔菲法概述及其在临床实践指南制订领域的应用

Overview of Real-time Delphi Method and Its Application in Guidelines

  • 摘要: 实时德尔菲法是对经典德尔菲法的一种改进, 旨在解决共识达成过程中的研究周期过长和延迟反馈等局限性。本文基于经典德尔菲法, 系统阐述实时德尔菲法的应用流程及优缺点, 并呈现目前可实现实时德尔菲技术的网站平台或软件, 以及其在临床实践指南制订中的思考与建议, 为相关研究人员提供参考。

     

    Abstract: The real-time Delphi method represents a refinement of the classical Delphi technique, designed to overcome limitations such as prolonged study duration and delayed feedback during consensus development. This article, building upon the classical Delphi foundation, systematically elaborates on the application process, advantages, and limitations of the real-time Delphi method. It further presents currently available websites or software capable of facilitating real-time Delphi exercises and offers considerations and recommendations for its application in guideline development, aiming to serve as a reference for relevant researchers.

     

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